Cruz Wins in Kansas

Boss 302

Pursuit Driver
Tonight's results should be interesting in the five states holding primary elections and caucuses as they are all closed; meaning you have to have registered as a party member prior to the elections. Cruz has won in closed primaries/caucuses. All but one of Trump's wins have been in states with open primaries/caucuses. This makes me strongly suspect those who normally vote for Democrats have been voting in Republican open primaries for Trump.
 
Looks like Cruz and Trump will split tonight. Trump looks to win Louisiana and Kentucky.
 
Delegate count after today (from AP):

Cc1grdsUUAI_2u_.jpg
 
Tightening up!
Puerto Rico has their caucus today. It's an open caucus where the winner takes most. This Tuesday will be interesting where delegates will be decided in Hawaii (closed caucus, delegates awarded proportionally), Idaho (closed, winner takes most), Michigan (open and proportional), and Mississippi (open and proportional). Rubio leads in Puerto Rico polls, Trump leads in the others.
 
Looks like Rubio wins Puerto Rico easily. Only question remaining is if he gets all the delegates.
 
It's winner take all in Puerto Rico for the candidate who gets more than 50% of the vote. It looks like Rubio may just get them, which is fine because that means Trump gets none even if he comes in second.
 
Given Cruz's good day yesterday and Trump's relatively 'bad' day it's looking more and more like nobody will get to 1237 before the convention. That would likely mean Trump is out (which would be awesome). The question then becomes will the delegates go with Cruz who likely will have the 2nd most delegates or Rubio or Kasich. I'd be happy with Cruz. My primary concern with him is the eligibility argument considering you just never really know what some judge may rule.
 
Given Cruz's good day yesterday and Trump's relatively 'bad' day it's looking more and more like nobody will get to 1237 before the convention. That would likely mean Trump is out (which would be awesome). The question then becomes will the delegates go with Cruz who likely will have the 2nd most delegates or Rubio or Kasich. I'd be happy with Cruz. My primary concern with him is the eligibility argument considering you just never really know what some judge may rule.
I'm not concerned about the eligibility requirement. The law on that is quite clear. I'd like to see Cruz get the nomination as I believe he can beat Hillary or whoever the Democratic nominee is. I don't think Kasich will get it. Most likely we will see a Cruz/Rubio ticket; however, we have Romney in the wings saying he wouldn't refuse the nomination. If the GOPe attempts to broker this to give Romney the party, they will kill the party for good.
 
Given Cruz's good day yesterday and Trump's relatively 'bad' day it's looking more and more like nobody will get to 1237 before the convention. That would likely mean Trump is out (which would be awesome). The question then becomes will the delegates go with Cruz who likely will have the 2nd most delegates or Rubio or Kasich. I'd be happy with Cruz. My primary concern with him is the eligibility argument considering you just never really know what some judge may rule.
I agree with you on the eligibility requirement because though many are accepting the law as clear, there are professors and lawyers, and as a piece I believe you posted states, there is room for interpretation and when it gets before a judge, you have no idea how that judge will decide. (or who is behind that judge helping the decision) I also think if Trump goes into the convention with the most delegates and they chose someone else, Hillary wins. I have said it before, the numbers he is bring out is staggering. No one else will get those numbers. I also do not fall into the category of those that think democrats are just voting for him so Hillary wins. I do think he is getting some democrats, but I think he is getting those votes because they do not want Hillary and he is more moderate on social issues. This has just been the most fascinating campaign, ever.
 
Current delegate count from RNC:

906 delegates of 2472 allocated:
Trump 382
Cruz 306
Rubio 158
Kasich 37
unbound 11
other candidates 12
 
I think you'll see Trump's numbers stay about the same with Cruz's numbers steadily climbing due to Carson, Rubio, and Kasich's supporters coming over. With that, you'll see a hellacious dog fight between the two. Rubio's political career could be over after this run. He's damaged goods because of the establishment. The establishment saw him as expendable and it'll be interesting to see if they try to repair him after this election. No VP ticket for that reason. He won't even carry his own state. Not even close. There's no political gain to pencil him on the ticket. Kasich has a much better shot at that and it'll be determined after the primary in Ohio. Let's see how Trump handles the pressure when he isn't coasting in the polls. You saw a glimpse of the race tightening this past weekend.
 
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