lotstodo
aka "The Jackal"
...has got me wondering about our position on the world stage. I think we have taken a back seat to even France now.
First lets get this out of the way. John Kerry is probably the reason we couldn't take the reigns here. He's incompetent, no getting around that simple fact. He is not a diplomat, negotiator or an expert on any aspect of nuclear material, armament, war capability, inspection, or any thing at all to do with these talks. It might as well be my 80 year old aunt at the table with a United States sign in front of her.
Second, lets get this out of the way too. it's a negotiation, we were never going to get everything we wanted.
Third, lets be very clear here, it appears that we went in not even expecting our needs and were willing from day one to let Iran have the bomb. We just didn't want them to have it during Hillary's Presidency.
Fourth, and this is the most important. Iran will break the deal, and when they do, we will have no recourse but to watch them create a nuclear weapon in an fully functioning and impenetrable underground facility that we did not demand be destroyed.
Now this is in fact some sort of deal, not a complete capitulation. But it still leaves Iran capable of producing a nuclear weapon in about a year. The second weapon would be harder to come by if they actually stick to the agreement for a while, but how many do they need to attack Israel?
This is not the worst possible deal given the fact that apparently France was the hawk here. However leaving Fordow open and equipped will turn out to be the biggest mistake we will make. They went from about 10,000 ruined centrifuges after Stuxnet back to full capacity in just two years, far quicker than anyone anticipated. there is no reason that they couldn't do that again.
So it is good that they are giving up their more capable centrifuges. It is good that they are significantly reducing their stockpiles of more highly refined nuclear material and limiting their enrichment to lower levels. It is good that they are apparently allowing inspections (but many still remember Saddam). It's bad that they will be allowed to play with Plutonium. It's bad that they will still have any fissible material capable of being used in a bomb. It is bad that they still have an impenetrable reactor site capable of returning to full capacity and producing a weapon in a years time of less. It is bad that after ten years, they can do pretty much as they please. It's bad that they are still free to develop delivery systems. It is bad that with Iran having any nuclear capability whatsoever the Saudis have said that they intend to develop a nuclear weapon of their own.
First lets get this out of the way. John Kerry is probably the reason we couldn't take the reigns here. He's incompetent, no getting around that simple fact. He is not a diplomat, negotiator or an expert on any aspect of nuclear material, armament, war capability, inspection, or any thing at all to do with these talks. It might as well be my 80 year old aunt at the table with a United States sign in front of her.
Second, lets get this out of the way too. it's a negotiation, we were never going to get everything we wanted.
Third, lets be very clear here, it appears that we went in not even expecting our needs and were willing from day one to let Iran have the bomb. We just didn't want them to have it during Hillary's Presidency.
Fourth, and this is the most important. Iran will break the deal, and when they do, we will have no recourse but to watch them create a nuclear weapon in an fully functioning and impenetrable underground facility that we did not demand be destroyed.
Now this is in fact some sort of deal, not a complete capitulation. But it still leaves Iran capable of producing a nuclear weapon in about a year. The second weapon would be harder to come by if they actually stick to the agreement for a while, but how many do they need to attack Israel?
This is not the worst possible deal given the fact that apparently France was the hawk here. However leaving Fordow open and equipped will turn out to be the biggest mistake we will make. They went from about 10,000 ruined centrifuges after Stuxnet back to full capacity in just two years, far quicker than anyone anticipated. there is no reason that they couldn't do that again.
So it is good that they are giving up their more capable centrifuges. It is good that they are significantly reducing their stockpiles of more highly refined nuclear material and limiting their enrichment to lower levels. It is good that they are apparently allowing inspections (but many still remember Saddam). It's bad that they will be allowed to play with Plutonium. It's bad that they will still have any fissible material capable of being used in a bomb. It is bad that they still have an impenetrable reactor site capable of returning to full capacity and producing a weapon in a years time of less. It is bad that after ten years, they can do pretty much as they please. It's bad that they are still free to develop delivery systems. It is bad that with Iran having any nuclear capability whatsoever the Saudis have said that they intend to develop a nuclear weapon of their own.
